Germany vs Italy: How the CL Draw May Affect UEFA Coefficients
Por Clark Whitney
Group A: Bayern, Juventus, Bordeaux, Maccabi Haifa,
Group C: AC Milan, Real Madrid, Marseille, FC Zurich

Predictions:

Group A:
Bayern need to improve, and fast, if they are to advance.  This year's Juve are CL title contenders, and will easily make it out of the group stage.

Prediction: 1) Juventus, 2) Bayern, 3) Bordeaux, 4) Maccabi Haifa

Advantage: Italy

Group B:
As usual, Man U got an easy group.  The setting them aside, Wolfsburg have a pretty reasonable group, given their fourth-pot status.  Due to their home form, I'd rate Wolfsburg ahead of the likes of CSKA Moscow and Besiktas.

Prediction: 1) Man U, 2) Wolfsburg, 3) Besiktas, 4) CSKA Moscow

Advantage: Germany (no competition from Italy, but Wolfsburg should advance)

Group C:
AC Milan are not group favorites.  Real Madrid got fairly lucky, drawing probably the second-worst Pot 1 team.  Still, with Marseille and Zurich as opponents, I have a feeling Milan will make it through to the knock-out stage, but just barely.

Prediction: 1) Real Madrid, 2) Milan, 3) Marseille, 4) Zurich

Advantage: Italy (no competition from Germany, but Milan should advance)

Group E:
Liverpool will advance, as always, and I believe this year's revamped Lyon are simply too good for Fiorentina this year.

Prediction: 1) Liverpool, 2) Lyon, 3) Fiorentina, 4) Debreceni VSC

Advantage: Germany (an Italy loss is a win for Germany)

Group F:
Barca will be favorites for winning the CL, so they advance by default.  Inter, though they may falter early in the knock-out round for lack of overall quality, should be able to out-perform Dynamo Kiev and Rubin Kasan in the group stages.  It also helps that, in Eto'o, Inter have signed a striker who can score goals in Europe.

Prediction: 1) Barca, 2) Inter, 3) Dynamo Kiev, 4) Rubin Kasan

Advantage: Italy (no contest from Germany)

Group G:
Probably the best group for Pot 3 or Pot 4 team, so Stuttgart got lucky.  Maybe this year, they won't totally blow their chances (never forget 2007), but perhaps not.

Prediction: 1) Sevilla, 2) Rangers, 3) Stuttgart, 4) Unirea Urziceni

Advantage: Italy (because Germany lose)

Perhaps the most vital contests in the Germany/Italy battle will be in groups C, E, and G.  In Group C, Milan may not advance.  In groups E, and G, Fiorentina and Stuttgart each have a decent chance to advance against my prediction.

EDIT:
BAYERN SIGNED ROBBEN, JUVENTUS SIGNED GROSSO BUT MISSED OUT ON RAFINHA.  TIP GROUP A TO GERMANY, WITH BAYERN FINISHING AHEAD OF JUVENTUS IN FIRST PLACE.
6  Comentários
Por  kgosser
27.08.2009 19:42
Um, Stuttgart #3 and not #2? No way I see them losing to Rangers.
Por  footnotes
27.08.2009 20:00
Never forget 2007:Barcelona 14 Lyon 10 Rangers 7 Stuttgart 3And that was when Stuttgart had Mario Gomez... (and before all the Gomez haters swarm, he scored 3 goals in 4 CL matches)
Por  CCCPPlus
27.08.2009 20:40
LOL i want to see Gomez score lots of goals for Bayern. that would be soooo funny
28.08.2009 07:04
CLark- Rangers would not progress...
29.08.2009 21:01
Should this not be Spain vs Italy? With classic Milan vs Real Madrid and Barca vs Inter i would expect a different title for this topic
Por  footnotes
29.08.2009 21:05
It's Germany vs Italy because La Liga is far ahead of Serie A in the UEFA coefficients, but the Bundesliga has a very good chance of surpassing Serie A this year.
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